Labour’s Re-election Chances Hugely Underestimated
Labour's polling and prospects have improved significantly since Andy Burnham became leader. Betting markets haven't caught up.
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This week
USAUS Midterms: Market Movers – Sunday 18th October
Bets are pouring in thick and fast on the midterms as we approach the final fortnight. I can report notable changes across the wide range o…
Media AppearancesDebut appearance on eventual.news
Alex 'Keendawg' Keeney and Paul 'Motty' Krishnamurty on eventual.news
USAUS Midterms Update: Seven market moves towards the Democrats
Broadly speaking, the midterm markets have been pretty stable in recent days. There seems a broad consensus that the races are set, with th…
Should we bet on the Mandelson Dim Sum Supper forecasts?
Every Christmas, Peter Mandelson and friends make political predictions for the year ahead. Here is how those forecasts compare to the prices — and where I take the other side.
Latest
US Midterms: Market Movers – Sunday 18th October
Bets are pouring in thick and fast on the midterms as we approach the final fortnight. I can report notable changes across the wide range o…
Debut appearance on eventual.news
Alex 'Keendawg' Keeney and Paul 'Motty' Krishnamurty on eventual.news
US Midterms Update: Seven market moves towards the Democrats
Broadly speaking, the midterm markets have been pretty stable in recent days. There seems a broad consensus that the races are set, with th…
Comparing candidates from the same party in the same state.
The midterms are less than three weeks away
US Midterm Elections: Markets swinging hard towards the Democrats
My latest analysis of the US midterm elections
French Presidential Election: Fourth time lucky for Marine Le Pen?
This article first appeared at gambling.com on August 31st, 2026 There are many elections to analyse and wager on with betting sites before…
