Monday, 5 October 2026
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham
Cover story UK

Labour’s Re-election Chances Hugely Underestimated

Labour's polling and prospects have improved significantly since Andy Burnham became leader. Betting markets haven't caught up.

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This week
Big Ben and the Houses of Parliament
Betting Strategy

Should we bet on the Mandelson Dim Sum Supper forecasts?

Every Christmas, Peter Mandelson and friends make political predictions for the year ahead. Here is how those forecasts compare to the prices — and where I take the other side.

Prices quoted in this piece
Next UK GE 2024 or later1.16 · 86%
No Overall Majority2.58
Labour majority2.06
Conservative majority8.6 · 12%
Starmer next PM1.43 · 70%
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The White House, Washington DC
USA

Was last week good or bad for Joe Biden?

2023 was an ‘off year’ for national elections, but the results were overwhelmingly good for Democrats. So why do Betfair markets remain dis…

Podcasts & Media

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