Labour’s Re-election Chances Hugely Underestimated
Labour's polling and prospects have improved significantly since Andy Burnham became leader. Betting markets haven't caught up.
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This week
USAMidterms: Market movers – Tuesday 20th October
The midterm elections are two weeks out today and naturally the markets are moving thick and fast. The overwhelming trend is towards the De…
USAUS Governor Elections: A quintet of competitive betting heats
This article first appeared at gambling.com on 19th October 2026. A fortnight out from the US midterm elections, the odds on betting apps s…
USAUS Midterms: Market Movers – Sunday 18th October
Bets are pouring in thick and fast on the midterms as we approach the final fortnight. I can report notable changes across the wide range o…
Should we bet on the Mandelson Dim Sum Supper forecasts?
Every Christmas, Peter Mandelson and friends make political predictions for the year ahead. Here is how those forecasts compare to the prices — and where I take the other side.
Latest
Midterms: Market movers – Tuesday 20th October
The midterm elections are two weeks out today and naturally the markets are moving thick and fast. The overwhelming trend is towards the De…
US Governor Elections: A quintet of competitive betting heats
This article first appeared at gambling.com on 19th October 2026. A fortnight out from the US midterm elections, the odds on betting apps s…
US Midterms: Market Movers – Sunday 18th October
Bets are pouring in thick and fast on the midterms as we approach the final fortnight. I can report notable changes across the wide range o…
Debut appearance on eventual.news
Alex 'Keendawg' Keeney and Paul 'Motty' Krishnamurty on eventual.news
US Midterms Update: Seven market moves towards the Democrats
Broadly speaking, the midterm markets have been pretty stable in recent days. There seems a broad consensus that the races are set, with th…
Comparing candidates from the same party in the same state.
The midterms are less than three weeks away
