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What on Earth is Happening in North Shropshire?
It smacks of the 2019 general election, when attempts to co-ordinate Labour and Lib Dem tactical votes proved farcical.
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Old Bexley and Sidcup By-Election Betting Preview – The Political Gambler
There is a theory that Labour will flood the area with activists, given the close proximity to London. I simply can’t see how that would cut through their fundamental weaknesses.
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3 Common Mistakes Everyone Makes at Casinos
Experts and experienced players understand that you must split your bankroll up into smaller increments so you can play enough to have a good chance of winning. For example, each betting round should take up no more than 5% of your total budget for that evening.
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Latest Boris Johnson Exit Odds: Is Boris on the Brink?
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 23rd November 2021 Boris Johnson’s bad month goes from worse to terrible and Betfair markets are responding. The Prime Minister is now around evens to no longer be Conservative leader by 2024 and the odds about a 2022 exit are down to [3.45] – equivalent to a 29% […]
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Odds Moving on News of Biden’s Plans for 2024
News broke this weekend that allies of Joe Biden report that the President intends to run for a second term in 2024. If true, this has significant impact on the betting and I’ve duly updated various odds for www.betonline.ag – for whom I hold a consultancy position. First in our ‘Biden to Complete a Full […]
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UK By-Elections Betting: North Shropshire far likelier to produce an upset
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 17th November 2021 Just as British politics gets interesting, as Labour register a series of poll leads for the first time under Keir Starmer’s leadership and Boris Johnson’s position becomes shakier than ever, we have a couple of by-elections. First in Old Bexley and Sidcup on 2 December, […]
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New markets for the 2024 US Election now live at betonline.ag
As some readers will already know, one of my roles is now as a betting consultant for betonline.ag. In particular, creating political betting markets and setting the lines. With the November elections over, we’ve begun to expand our lines for the 2024 US Presidential Election. In addition to the winner and nominees for the respective […]
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Interview with Trademate Sports
Here’s a wide-ranging interview that I enjoyed from earlier this year, with Alex Vella of Trademate Sports, discussing my career, and political betting in depth. It was a good intro to who I am, how I work and built my career as a professional gambler and subsequently, political betting analyst and consultant. We also discuss […]
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How to Play November’s Political Betting Bonanza
One of the most marginal ‘purple’ states, Old Dominion has swung blue in recent cycles, so it would signal a sharp change in the political weather if shifting to the red team.
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Is Boris Johnson Destroying the Conservative Party As We Know It?
I do believe that perpetual crisis is upon us, and find it hard to believe it won’t affect those Tory voters. They are overwhelmingly elderly and therefore on fixed incomes. Tory policies kicking the poor, or students, don’t directly affect them. Inflation, especially energy prices and council tax, will.