Category: Archive

  • How I Became a Pro Gambler – The Political Gambler

    This article first appeared at slman.com in November 2020 I am a completely self-taught gambler. I was 13 when I discovered football coupons. I couldn’t believe it: all you had to do was back Arsenal, Man United and Liverpool to win, and you could get paid out at 14/1 just for that. I discovered them on […]

  • Five Tips For Aspiring Professional or Semi-Pro Gamblers

    Five Tips For Aspiring Professional or Semi-Pro Gamblers

    This article first appeared here at casinovalley.ca on 11th September 2020 1: Plan a Tight Work Schedule Genuinely professional gamblers are rare, but my experience proves it is possible. Many more have the expertise to consistently make a profit but prefer to keep their gambling as a side income to their main job. That was […]

  • Betfair Masterclass Series Part 2: Tips and Strategies to Bet on Politics

    Betfair Masterclass Series Part 2: Tips and Strategies to Bet on Politics

    The history of leadership contests is littered with bad early favourites. A classic mistake is to overstate the importance of early polls. When members or supporters are first asked, name recognition will be uneven.

  • Betfair Masterclass Series: How to Predict Elections

    Betfair Masterclass Series: How to Predict Elections

    “The best way to win on elections is good old-fashioned hard work and research in order to understand the particular dynamics of each race. Each election is unique”

  • Six famous leadership contest upsets

    Six famous leadership contest upsets

    This piece first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 1st April 2020 For weeks, the markets for Next Labour Leader and Next Deputy Labour Leader have been stagnant. It is assumed that Keir Starmer and Angela Rayner will win, as respective odds of [1.02] and [1.01] illustrate. I’ve no reason to expect an upset but were the […]

  • How Political Betting Went Global During the Trump Era

    How Political Betting Went Global During the Trump Era

    The US Election is a huge betting market, lasting well over a year. With sports canceled amid the coronavirus, the 2020 Presidental Election may well be the biggest single betting event of the year. To many Americans, November’s general election feels like one of the most critical moments in the history of the Republic. The […]

  • South Carolina Primary: Biden poised to unite the anti-Sanders vote

    South Carolina Primary: Biden poised to unite the anti-Sanders vote

    This piece was first published on Saturday 29th February 2020 at betting.betfair.com This year is the third time that Joe Biden has run for the presidency. If the signals on Betfair for tonight’s South Carolina Primary are correct, he is about to finally win a race. Biden expected to land big win in SC The […]

  • SC debate could be the last chance to stop Bernie Sanders

    SC debate could be the last chance to stop Bernie Sanders

    Ahead of the busiest, and invariably decisive spell of primary season, the importance of Tuesday’s Democrat debate from South Carolina cannot be overstated. Following his resounding, poll-beating victory in Nevada, Bernie Sanders is even money favourite to win the nomination. This won’t be the final debate but may very well be the last chance for […]

  • Nevada Caucuses Betting Tips: Sanders set to open up big lead as Bloomberg bombs

    Nevada Caucuses Betting Tips: Sanders set to open up big lead as Bloomberg bombs

    This piece first appeared at betting.betfair.com on Friday February 21st It’s often said that TV debates can’t move the needle anymore and that has largely been the case during several months of the Democrat primaries. Michael Bloomberg’s debut in Nevada, however, just wrecked that theory, at least if impacting betting markets is the criteria. Bloomberg […]

  • Brexit Latest – Election odds-on to occur before Brexit

    Brexit Latest – Election odds-on to occur before Brexit

    This piece was first published on 29th August 2019 for betting.betfair.com Having spent all summer on tenterhooks, waiting to learn precisely how Boris Johnson’s government plans to deliver its Brexit promises, British politics finally blew up yesterday and entered a new, highly unpredictable phase. Prorogation exacerbates political divide Johnson’s decision to prorogue parliament for five […]