Category: US Politics

  • The Polling Station: Trump Runs Again

    The Polling Station: Trump Runs Again

    What a year it has been in the world of political betting. Hopefully those following us will have profited from Boris Johnson leaving office early (predicted consistently on these pages too).

  • Buckle up for Trump’s dramatic final series

    Buckle up for Trump’s dramatic final series

    The Republican establishment now believe they have a superior candidate in Ron DeSantis, whose 20% margin re-election in Florida sent the strongest signal possible.

  • Get Out The Bet E6: Midterm elections review

    Get Out The Bet E6: Midterm elections review

    Out today, I look back at the midterms results (or state of play) with Melissa Caen and Patrick Everson in our latest episode. Overall, I think these results largely vindicate our collective analysis, laid out in the first five episodes of our new series. If you would like to check back and hear how our […]

  • US Midterm Elections: Final predictions and markets to follow in-play

    US Midterm Elections: Final predictions and markets to follow in-play

    The full article is available, free of charge, at betting.betfair.com This is a huge day in US politics, with voting underway for the Senate and House of Representatives. At stake, control of Congress at a pivotal moment in US and world history. It has profound implications for Joe Biden’s presidency and re-election chances in 2024. […]

  • US Midterm Elections: Key States and Districts

    US Midterm Elections: Key States and Districts

    As always, whilst the entire US electorate is voting for the House, the elections will be decided in a small number of key states and districts. There is betting available on all these individual races. Also, if you’re betting on which party will win the Senate or their seat totals in the Senate, it really […]

  • US Midterms Betting Preview and Tips

    US Midterms Betting Preview and Tips

    This piece first appeared at casino.org on 1st November 2022 Which Elections Are On And What Betting Is Available? 35 races for the US Senate. Most are very one-sided, which is reflected in the betting. At most, 10 are competitive and we can probably whittle that down to seven. They are Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, […]

  • Latest Betting on the Midterms

    Latest Betting on the Midterms

    In keeping with the growth of political betting, I can report that this set of midterm elections are well on course to become the biggest ever in terms of betting. At betonline.ag, we’ve significantly expanded our coverage, most notably to include these 20 individual races for the House of Representatives. If there’s any other races […]

  • Our New Political Betting Show – Get Out The Bet!

    Our New Political Betting Show – Get Out The Bet!

    Exciting news! This week saw the launch of my latest project – a brand new weekly show covering political betting – alongside two excellent co-presenters, Melissa Caen and Patrick Everson. We will be mostly US focused, but also cover the big international elections and markets. Every week we’ll be analysing market moves, with a special […]

  • Politics Live Update: Two October Surprises

    Politics Live Update: Two October Surprises

    Then, the OPEC decision to cut oil production, representing deeply worrying news for governments everywhere.

  • Politics Live Blog: Labour odds now in freefall

    Politics Live Blog: Labour odds now in freefall

    Today’s entry reports on five extraordinary polls released yesterday, and a dramatic shift in betting sentiment towards Labour during the past seven days, since Kwasi Kwarteng’s mini-budget.