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Beware overhyped, early GOP favourites
Will Jeb prove to be another dodgy Republican favourite? Thanks in no small part to Donald Trump, the 2016 Election campaign has become big news even earlier than usual. 11 candidates, (out of 16 left in the field), will debate in California tomorrow, suggesting the most open race in history. The fundamental challenge facing 14…
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Corbyn confounds media derision with 24/1 win
Although the profits were ensured weeks ago via a series of cover bets, today’s confirmation of Jeremy Corbyn as the next Labour leader was nevertheless a particularly satisfying moment. A vindication of my early tip, at which stage Corbyn was the unconsidered 24/1 outsider. A devastating blow for the credibility of the Westminster Village talking…
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Why I’m waiting for Biden’s decision
Some believed that Joe Biden’s appearance on the new Stephen Colbert show would be the launchpad for a Presidential run, that would transform the race to be Democrat Nominee. As it turned out, the VP confirmed what was already in the public domain – that he’s struggling to commit to such a life-changing decision, in…
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UK Election films for Betfair Predicts
As content editor of the comprehensive Betfair Predicts coverage of the UK General Election, I made a series of 13 films alongside the former Lib Dem MP and broadcaster Lembit Opik, and the political biographer Mark Stuart, an academic at Nottingham University. Here are some of the highlights. I particularly enjoyed discussing UKIP, having successfully…
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Ben Carson is a better value bet than Trump
In my latest #election 2016 update for @BetfairExchange; I make the case for a bet on outsider Dr Ben Carson and to keep an eye out for the emerging Carly Fiorina. Like Donald Trump, neither are politicians and therefore able to make capital from the groundswell of anti-Washington sentiment within GOP ranks. Unlike Trump, their…