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US Mid-Term Elections Betting Preview
The states in play are relatively favorable to Democrats – an exact reversal of 2018, when Republican Senators defied the Blue Wave at House level.
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Politics Live – Rolling Betting News Blog via Betfair
First, an update. You may have noticed this blog’s disappearance over the past six months or so. This was due to a hack. Followers of my Twitter account may have some theories about that, but, as Francis Urquhart would say “I couldn’t possibly comment.” Happily, we’re now back up and running. WordPress have made some […]
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US Mid-Terms: How to cash in on an improving Democrat position
Note that betting markets have an extraordinarily good record in state races, whether mid-terms or presidential elections. Upsets are extremely rare.
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How I Became a Pro Gambler – The Political Gambler
This article first appeared at slman.com in November 2020 I am a completely self-taught gambler. I was 13 when I discovered football coupons. I couldn’t believe it: all you had to do was back Arsenal, Man United and Liverpool to win, and you could get paid out at 14/1 just for that. I discovered them on […]
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2024 US Election Betting: Will History Repeat Itself?
This article first appeared at casino.org on 24th January 2022 The finale is 33 months away but the biggest market in world betting is already heating up. £1.6BN was traded on Betfair when Donald Trump and Joe Biden faced off in 2020, smashing the previous all-time record – set by Trump and Hillary Clinton in […]
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Why We Shouldn’t Overestimate Boris Johnson’s Powers of Recovery
Berlusconi literally created a party in his own image. Trump usurped one and bent it to his will. They have real political clout, whereas Johnson is more an opportunist in the right place at the right time.
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2022 Political Betting Preview
A shock defeat in Virginia and close shave in New Jersey demonstrated how hard it will be for Democrats to retain their diverse coalition in government, rather than opposition, and without the toxic name of Donald Trump on the ballot.
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The Six Biggest Betting Heats to Follow in 2022
My view is Johnson will resign around May, after tax, NI and energy price rises contribute towards a disastrous set of local election results.
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North Shropshire By-Election: Has the market over-estimated Tory troubles?
The race for second was frequently close. The Lib Dems were second during the Thatcher/Major years, peaking with 31.6% in 1983…That sideshow may be more relevant to Thursday’s outcome than first appears.
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Boris Johnson Betting: Tory Conference feels a long way off for a PM under siege
The safest bet is the 2022 option. Why? Because generally after a leader stands down, they stay in post throughout the subsequent leadership contest. That could take three months.