• New markets for the 2024 US Election now live at betonline.ag

    As some readers will already know, one of my roles is now as a betting consultant for betonline.ag. In particular, creating political betting markets and setting the lines. With the November elections over, we’ve begun to expand our lines for the 2024 US Presidential Election. In addition to the winner and nominees for the respective […]

  • Interview with Trademate Sports

    Here’s a wide-ranging interview that I enjoyed from earlier this year, with Alex Vella of Trademate Sports, discussing my career, and political betting in depth. It was a good intro to who I am, how I work and built my career as a professional gambler and subsequently, political betting analyst and consultant. We also discuss […]

  • How to Play November’s Political Betting Bonanza

    One of the most marginal ‘purple’ states, Old Dominion has swung blue in recent cycles, so it would signal a sharp change in the political weather if shifting to the red team.

  • Is Boris Johnson Destroying the Conservative Party As We Know It?

    I do believe that perpetual crisis is upon us, and find it hard to believe it won’t affect those Tory voters. They are overwhelmingly elderly and therefore on fixed incomes. Tory policies kicking the poor, or students, don’t directly affect them. Inflation, especially energy prices and council tax, will.

  • German Election Betting: Try this trio of betting angles

    This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 23rd September 2021 Germany goes to the polls on Sunday, for what looks set to be their most dramatic election for 16 years. Why? Simply, the Angela Merkel era is coming to an end after 16 years and, given her popularity, that has meant a re-alignment of voters. […]

  • German Election Betting Guide: Bets advised on vote share and next government

    This article first appeared at casino.org on 20th September 2021 The most significant national election of 2021 takes place next weekend, as Europe’s biggest economy goes to the polls. It has already been an extremely dramatic betting heat. Merkel Retirement Is Proving Transformative Chancellor Angela Merkel is retiring after 16 years at the helm, leaving something of […]

  • The multiple reasons why Boris Johnson will be gone by 2024

    This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 15th September 2021 Back in July, I added a new position to an ever expanding portfolio regarding Boris Johnson’s exit date. This was prior to all manner of drama. Afghanistan chaos. Tax rises. Labour’s first poll lead of 2021. To my great surprise, the betting has barely moved. […]

  • Will Joe Biden complete his term, run again or if not, which Democrat might?

    This article first appeared at casino.org on Monday 13th September, 2021 In my previous article, I explained how US political betting remains dominated by Donald Trump, his family, and their next moves. Following a tumultuous month, his successor is giving him a run for his money. Perhaps the only similarity between the two men is that, […]

  • How long has Starmer’s sinking leadership left to run?

    This article first appeared at betting.betfair on 9th June 2021 It is often said that Leader of the Opposition is the worst job in politics, as Keir Starmer is rapidly discovering. Not only are Labour way behind in national polls but their leader’s approval ratings are on the floor. Check these latest numbers from Ipsos-Mori. […]

  • Batley and Spen By-Election: Labour set to lose another brick in their crumbling Red Wall

    This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 4th June 2021 At the last English by-election, Boris Johnson’s Conservatives won the Hartlepool constituency for the first time. A stunning result that defied history and laid stark the demographic trends that now explain our politics. A fortnight today, the Tories are rated 94% likely to defend Chesham […]