Will Latest Trump Tape Swing The Georgia Senate Run-offs?

This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 4th January 2001

During his five and a half year in politics, even the most committed Trump-watchers lost count of the number of shocking moments, incidents, revelations that would have destroyed anybody else’s career. He survived the Access Hollywood tapes, the Mueller investigation, impeachment, the Woodward tapes. It took the voters to eventually defeat him and even now, he won’t accept it.

Last night, a new tape emerged that may ultimately surpass any of those scandals. The Washington Post published the president’s full conversation with Georgia Secretary of State, in which he clearly pressurises Brad Raffensberger into rigging the state’s election result. Pushing numerous debunked conspiracies and threatening criminal consequences, Trump tells Raffensberger, “I just want to find 11,780 votes.”


Trump evidently still set on changing the result

The only surprise is that anybody is surprised. Trump is openly attempting a coup d’etat – something that I and many other commentators predicted long before the election took place. Large numbers of armed Trump supporters are expected to gather in Washington D.C. on Wednesday, protesting the result.

The long-term ramifications could be huge. This is irrefutable evidence of a crime, compounding the vast legal peril he already faces upon becoming a private citizen. More immediately, the timing could not be worse for his party.

Georgia run-offs will determine the Senate

On Tuesday, the final leg of the 2020 election marathon will be run. Two Senate races in Georgia will determine which party controls the Senate, and settle the last of my 20-strong betting series.

If Democrats win both, they’ll have 48 seats – thus counting as ‘No Majority’ for that Senate Control market. In fact the Senate will be tied thanks to the support of two independents, and the vote of Vice President Kamala Harris will break that tie.

Even disregarding the political significance, this is a cracking betting heat. Both races are close and all permutations are realistic. Our Sportsbook have priced up all four potential doubles as follows.

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