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Should We Bet on the Mandelson Dim Supper Forecasts?
I’m at complete odds with the entire panel and rate No Overall Majority a cracking bet (or trade) at [2.58].
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Politics Live Update: Biden charging forward in 2024 betting
My latest update to Betfair’s Politics Live focuses on the Democrat Nomination for the 2024 US Election. I’ve been tipping Joe Biden for this and in the presidential market for months. Following a respectable performance at the midterms for Democrats, his odds are shortening rapidly. Furthermore, this morning I updated that advice with the following […]
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Episodes 7 and 8 of Get Out The Bet: 2024 Market Moves
We are now on a break until the New Year, after which time we will be looking in greater depth at the 2024 US Presidential Election. Here, however, are the two final episodes of 2022. In the first we discuss Donald Trump’s announcement that he will run for president again and whether Joe Biden is […]
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The Polling Station: Trump Runs Again
What a year it has been in the world of political betting. Hopefully those following us will have profited from Boris Johnson leaving office early (predicted consistently on these pages too).
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US Midterm Elections: Final predictions and markets to follow in-play
The full article is available, free of charge, at betting.betfair.com This is a huge day in US politics, with voting underway for the Senate and House of Representatives. At stake, control of Congress at a pivotal moment in US and world history. It has profound implications for Joe Biden’s presidency and re-election chances in 2024. […]
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US Midterms Betting Preview and Tips
This piece first appeared at casino.org on 1st November 2022 Which Elections Are On And What Betting Is Available? 35 races for the US Senate. Most are very one-sided, which is reflected in the betting. At most, 10 are competitive and we can probably whittle that down to seven. They are Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, […]
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Politics Live Blog: Labour odds now in freefall
Today’s entry reports on five extraordinary polls released yesterday, and a dramatic shift in betting sentiment towards Labour during the past seven days, since Kwasi Kwarteng’s mini-budget.
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US Mid-Term Elections Betting Preview
The states in play are relatively favorable to Democrats – an exact reversal of 2018, when Republican Senators defied the Blue Wave at House level.
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2024 US Election Betting: Will History Repeat Itself?
This article first appeared at casino.org on 24th January 2022 The finale is 33 months away but the biggest market in world betting is already heating up. £1.6BN was traded on Betfair when Donald Trump and Joe Biden faced off in 2020, smashing the previous all-time record – set by Trump and Hillary Clinton in […]
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Why We Shouldn’t Overestimate Boris Johnson’s Powers of Recovery
Berlusconi literally created a party in his own image. Trump usurped one and bent it to his will. They have real political clout, whereas Johnson is more an opportunist in the right place at the right time.