Tag: Lib Dems

  • UK General Election Constituency Guide Part 4: CON-held Lib Dem targets ranked 11-20

    UK General Election Constituency Guide Part 4: CON-held Lib Dem targets ranked 11-20

    This piece was first published on 19th November 2019 Cornwall North Click here for latest live odds Although relatively high on the Lib Dem target list, this is another Cornwall seat that will be very hard to pick up. The constituency voted 60% in favour of Leave in 2016 and the Tory majority is more […]

  • UK General Election Constituency Betting Part 3: Ten Labour seats in realistic range for the Tories

    UK General Election Constituency Betting Part 3: Ten Labour seats in realistic range for the Tories

    Peterborough Click here for latest live odds Peterborough is precisely the sort of seat where Tories are right to worry about the presence of Brexit Party, whose 29% in a by-election earlier this year was mostly achieved at Tory expense. While that enabled Labour to hold the seat despite their previous MP going to prison […]

  • European Elections – Back the Greens to surge

    European Elections – Back the Greens to surge

    This article was first published for gambling.com on Wednesday May 22nd. Barring a miracle that would confound every indicator, this week’s European Elections will deliver a historic kicking to Britain’s two main parties. How can we profit from it with the best political betting sites? The very best political betting opportunities have now gone. Those shrewdies that took […]

  • European Elections: Back Change UK for a wipeout

    European Elections: Back Change UK for a wipeout

    This piece was first published on Monday 13th May – unfortunately these luxury odds on Change UK and Lib Dems performance are no longer available. Three months ago, they were the biggest story in Westminster. A group of high-profile defectors from Labour and the Conservatives, standing for moderation, centrism and cross-party collaboration in an era […]

  • 2019 UK Local Elections Review – Five takeaways

    2019 UK Local Elections Review – Five takeaways

    1 Tory losses far exceeded worst expectations In losing more than 1300 councillors, these results were unarguably awful for the Tories. Yes, they had a long way to fall and a backlash from Brexiters angry at their failure to deliver was predictable. But the scale defied the experts – the higher academic estimate noted in […]

  • Centrists may be homeless but tainted Lib Dems won’t fill the vacuum

    Centrists may be homeless but tainted Lib Dems won’t fill the vacuum

    Struggling to find a talking point to take from last week’s Lib Dem conference, much of the media opted to focus on perhaps the ultimate example of what The Independent’s Jon Rentoul would call a QTWAIN – could Vince Cable become the country’s next PM? The BBC’s Question Time even devoted ten minutes to the […]

  • Lib Dem demise should ensure a Tory majority

    Lib Dem demise should ensure a Tory majority

    Over the course of the campaign, this election has been likened to many from the past. Inevitably, comparisons were made with Margaret Thatcher, with the early and betting implying Theresa May would even improve on the Iron Lady’s 1983 personal best – a majority of 144. Even if the Tories underperformed, their 1987 majority of […]

  • How electoral systems keep fooling betting markets

    How electoral systems keep fooling betting markets

    The US Election votes are still being counted but with each day that passes, this result looks ever more like the greatest electoral anomaly in living memory. Hillary Clinton is on course to win by the popular vote by around 2M votes, yet suffer a resounding 306-232 defeat in the electoral college. This isn’t an excuse. I argued many times […]

  • Richmond presents a golden opportunity for Lib Dems

    Richmond presents a golden opportunity for Lib Dems

    As various recent events on both sides of the Atlantic illustrate, conventional political parties are creaking under the weight of international, cultural and ideological pressures. Voters are less inclined to affiliate or identify themselves with one party, or one set of policies. Party members less likely to take instruction from leaders. The British party system […]