Tag: John Kerry

  • How previous presidential elections panned out during the final 100 days

    How previous presidential elections panned out during the final 100 days

    2012 was the direct opposite of 2016. Indeed it goes a long way towards explaining why there was such confidence in Clinton’s poll lead four years later.

  • Romney must be opposed at short odds

    Romney must be opposed at short odds

    There are many things that we should have learned about Donald Trump over the past 18 months – most of all¬†that he routinely¬†breaks political convention and is unpredictable. Which is why playing Betfair’s Next Secretary of State market is both exciting and fraught with danger. Consider the last two incumbents – John Kerry and Hillary […]

  • Can Clinton maintain Betfair’s perfect record?

    Can Clinton maintain Betfair’s perfect record?

    The predictive qualities of political betting markets have become an ever more salient talking point in recent years, based on a near perfect record in big elections. Since the inception of Betfair in 2001, the favourite from 100 days out to be Next President or party to win the most seats went on to win […]