Tag: Bernie Sanders

  • Rubio all the rage after Trump supporters fail to turn up

    Rubio all the rage after Trump supporters fail to turn up

    Yet again, opinion polls have been proved spectacularly wrong in a major political betting event. Yet again, odds-on backers were taught a lesson about trying to buy money in US primary elections. Monday’s Iowa Caucuses turned the Republican Nomination race on it’s head and, after a photo-finish, set the Democrat race up for a fascinating […]

  • Betting markets still favour Clinton in Iowa

    Betting markets still favour Clinton in Iowa

    As the traditional opening leg of the nomination process, the Iowa caucuses are always a big, worldwide media story. Particularly so in the United Kingdom, and not just because of our ‘special relationship’ with the USA. Britain is a big political market and also home to the world’s most sophisticated betting industry – even more […]

  • New bets: Why I’m switching away from Clinton, for now

    New bets: Why I’m switching away from Clinton, for now

    With Iowa too close to call, there’s no short-term betting mileage in our earlier bet In order to secure a profit over the long-term – and my US election portfolio has nine months left to run – one needs to switch positions frequently, banking profits where possible, and also accepting a small lose when prudent. These […]

  • New position: Lay back Sanders, leave risk free bet

    One new bet to advise – as per my advice on Twitter from this morning. So, what I’m doing here is taking all the risk out of the Bernie Sanders bet advised last week, when his odds were 24. By selling or laying back the 15 unit stake, no money can be lost on the […]

  • Is it time to think the unthinkable?

    Is it time to think the unthinkable?

    With each day, Trump v Sanders looks likelier If the betting markets are any guide, the race for the Presidency looks like a six-runner race. Five if, like me, you think Jeb Bush is a no-hoper. Three of those five would represent a seismic shock to U.S. politics, almost unimaginable until recently. Significantly, the campaigns […]

  • New position: Simple maths make Bernie a great trade

    New position: Simple maths make Bernie a great trade

    New Hampshire progress means Sanders’ current odds are all wrong Two essential components of successful gambling, (trading is a more accurate term), are timing and the ability to do basic maths. Get those two things right and one need not necessarily predict winners. That is the logic behind my latest position on the U.S. Election, […]

  • How and why New Hampshire could shape the election

    How and why New Hampshire could shape the election

    At the beginning of every US Presidential Election year, there is one pressing task – predict the  New Hampshire Primary Why? Not because it is the first contest of the nomination schedule – that honour goes to the Iowa Caucus, one week earlier on February 1st. Nor because this state contributes lots of delegates – […]

  • PMQs: Corbyn changes the conversation

    PMQs: Corbyn changes the conversation

    A good start, but the new leader’s fundamental problems were clear to see It is my confident prediction that more people watched this afternoon’s PMQs than ever before. Compared to the usual, mostly ignored, often derided piece of theatre, Jeremy Corbyn’s debut was genuinely a hot topic of conversation this morning. People from outside the political […]