Tag: Kamala Harris

  • US Election: If not Trump versus Biden, then whom?

    US Election: If not Trump versus Biden, then whom?

    “This cycle has been rife with rumours of a Democrat fix for months. That a brokered convention would result in the DNC imposing somebody who hadn’t even entered the primaries.”

  • Democrat VP Betting: Which woman will Biden pick?

    Democrat VP Betting: Which woman will Biden pick?

    This article first appeared on 10th April 2020 at betting.betfair.com Now Bernie Sanders has suspended his presidential campaign, the way is clear for Joe Biden to secure the Democratic Nomination. The former VP is now rated a [1.1] chance to be his party’s candidate. If you’re wondering why he’s even that high, that can only […]

  • How Political Betting Went Global During the Trump Era

    How Political Betting Went Global During the Trump Era

    The US Election is a huge betting market, lasting well over a year. With sports canceled amid the coronavirus, the 2020 Presidental Election may well be the biggest single betting event of the year. To many Americans, November’s general election feels like one of the most critical moments in the history of the Republic. The […]

  • US Election: Biden will pick a woman but beware the Clinton hype

    US Election: Biden will pick a woman but beware the Clinton hype

    This piece first appeared at gamblerspick.com on Monday 17th March 2020 A fortnight ago, we discussed how the race to be the Democrat nominee in November’s US General Election was developing ahead of the biggest single day of primary season, into a straight choice between Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden – as the latter was rapidly hoovering […]

  • US Election – Who will be Joe Biden’s VP Pick?

    US Election – Who will be Joe Biden’s VP Pick?

    This article first appeared at Betfair Australia’s The Hub, on 13th March 2020 Following another slew of victories for Joe Biden on Super Tuesday 2, the Democrat Nomination looks all but finished as a betting heat. The former Vice President is now a mere $1.09 for the nomination and $2.28 for the presidency. Bernie Sanders […]

  • 2020 US Election and Democratic Nominee Betting and Analysis

    2020 US Election and Democratic Nominee Betting and Analysis

    This article was first published on 17th July, for betting.betfair.com It has been three weeks since the first of the Democrat TV debates, as they search for their nominee for the 2020 US Presidential Election. During that short window, the betting has changed dramatically. Harris now favourite as Biden slips When former Vice President Joe […]

  • 2020 US Election Betting: Is the Biden Bounce for real?

    2020 US Election Betting: Is the Biden Bounce for real?

    The most significant gamble towards the 2020 US Election is underway. In the fortnight since Joe Biden declared his candidacy, the former Vice President has risen to clear second favourite behind Donald Trump, with his odds shortening from 15.0 to a new low of 6.4 this morning. Biden opens up vast early primary lead If […]

  • Four reasons why you shouldn’t bet on Bernie Sanders for 2020

    Four reasons why you shouldn’t bet on Bernie Sanders for 2020

    This piece is from a fortnight ago. Bernie Sanders best odds are now 10/1 for the presidency and 11/2 for the Democrat nomination. All the arguments against still apply! A frequent political betting mistake is to refight the previous election. To assume the dynamics will be replicated. That the narrative which worked previously will remain […]

  • 2020 US Election: Democrat Candidate Picks

    2020 US Election: Democrat Candidate Picks

    A US Presidential Election is truly like no other, effectively lasting two years. Although the primaries do not start until February 2020, would-be candidates are already visiting the opening states – Iowa and New Hampshire. History shows that, to become the nominee for either party, victory in one of those two openers is essential. hence […]

  • Beto O’Rourke is the star that Democrats need

    Beto O’Rourke is the star that Democrats need

    Analysing the mid-terms, I argued that Donald Trump will not be re-elected and that there was a good chance he wouldn’t even be on the ballot. Today let’s consider who will take him, or a Republican replacement, on in the 2020 US Presidential Election. Huge field expected for Democrat primary 2020 will see a Democrat […]