Tag: Donald Trump

  • Betting markets take a firm view about Rubio

    Betting markets take a firm view about Rubio

    But will the polls follow suit? After a couple of days digesting the fallout from the latest Republican debate, there are clear conclusions to be drawn regarding who won or lost, whose stock rose or fell. Jeb Bush’s campaign is in total crisis. The longstanding early market favourite was put firmly, embarrassingly in his place […]

  • Four pointers to watch for in the CNBC Republican debate

    Four pointers to watch for in the CNBC Republican debate

    1) Is this the night Donald Trump’s abuse wears thin? With less than 100 days until the Iowa Caucus, the race to be the Republican Nominee continues to defy convention, expert opinion and the wishes of the party elite. Few expected 14 candidates to still be on the stage for Wednesday’s third TV debate, live […]

  • Is this the beginning of the end for Jeb Bush?

    Is this the beginning of the end for Jeb Bush?

    One-time favourite is sliding badly on the betting markets From the moment Jeb Bush announced his Presidential bid, boosted by a stack of mega-donors, the former Florida Governor became red-hot favourite on the betting markets to be the Republican candidate. However as in the last two elections, the early money for this market increasingly looks […]

  • Unarguably, a great day for Donald Trump

    Front-runner extends his advantage in slew of new polls Thus far, while Donald Trump’s bid to be the Republican Nominee has dominated the headlines, polls, tone and narrative of that race, betting markets have generally remained sceptical. It is all froth, driven by a media seeking viewers and fundamentally unreliable polls based on name recognition, […]

  • Five reasons why Ted Cruz is the best current bet

    Five reasons why Ted Cruz is the best current bet

    1) Cruz is well-positioned in the polls for when the field whittles down The picture regarding who will be the Republican Nominee remains as unclear as ever, with 15 candidates still in the race. The crowded field has worked to the advantage of outsiders, whose pitch is that bit more interesting and newsworthy than conventional […]

  • 7 reasons why Jeb Bush won’t win the Republican Nomination

    7 reasons why Jeb Bush won’t win the Republican Nomination

    With an enormous election war chest, winning record and instant name recognition, Jeb Bush has been red-hot favourite on Betfair for the Republican Nomination ever since declaring. Paul Krishnamurty, however, believes his bid is ultimately doomed, for the following seven reasons. 1) Early favourites in recent GOP contests have a terrible record Betting markets have […]

  • Marco Rubio is the big market mover on Betfair

    Marco Rubio is the big market mover on Betfair

    Florida senator closes in on Jeb Bush for GOP favouritism With Donald Trump on the wane and Jeb Bush stalling in the race to be Republican nominee, political gamblers have been scratching around for better-priced alternatives. Down the field outsiders Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina, recommended here at around 1.5% apiece for the Presidency, are […]

  • Carly Fiorina rising fast after debate win

    Carly Fiorina rising fast after debate win

    Businesswoman steals the show from Donald Trump From the early market reaction there’s no question about who ‘won’ last night’s second Republican debate. In line with almost universal good reviews, Carly Fiorina is storming up the markets. The former CEO of Hewlett Packard is now trading at [11.0] or 9% for the nomination, [30.0] (3%) […]

  • PMQs: Corbyn changes the conversation

    PMQs: Corbyn changes the conversation

    A good start, but the new leader’s fundamental problems were clear to see It is my confident prediction that more people watched this afternoon’s PMQs than ever before. Compared to the usual, mostly ignored, often derided piece of theatre, Jeremy Corbyn’s debut was genuinely a hot topic of conversation this morning. People from outside the political […]

  • Beware overhyped, early GOP favourites

    Beware overhyped, early GOP favourites

    Will Jeb prove to be another dodgy Republican favourite? Thanks in no small part to Donald Trump, the 2016 Election campaign has become big news even earlier than usual. 11 candidates, (out of 16 left in the field), will debate in California tomorrow, suggesting the most open race in history. The fundamental challenge facing 14 […]