Category: Uncategorized

  • Next Tory Leader Betting – Dominic Raab is perfectly poised

    Next Tory Leader Betting – Dominic Raab is perfectly poised

    With the news that Theresa May will imminently announce her departure date, the starting pistol has been fired on the Next Conservative Leader race. In reality, that kicked off before the final results of the 2017 General Election were in and hardened political punters are doubtless managing several positions already. It has been quite a […]

  • Buckle up for betting drama as latest Brexit deadline looms

    Buckle up for betting drama as latest Brexit deadline looms

    This article was first published on 8th April 2019, for betting.betfair.com We’re approaching Brexit D-Day once again, with the UK scheduled to leave the EU on Friday at 11pm, with no agreement yet in place. This may seem counterintuitive given the deadlock in Westminster but the imminent developments will, one way or another, provide some […]

  • Cross-party soft Brexit deal could be on but will need a new Tory leader

    Cross-party soft Brexit deal could be on but will need a new Tory leader

    This article was written on March 22nd 2019, for betting.betfair.com Another extraordinary, historic day in the Brexit process yielded more drama on Betfair markets as the biggest related betting market to date – Will the UK leave on 29/03/19 – was finally all but settled. A50 extension foils late no deal gamble Throughout the afternoon, […]

  • Labour would emerge stronger from TIG split if Corbyn goes

    Labour would emerge stronger from TIG split if Corbyn goes

    This article was first published on February 25th, 2019 It is way too early to draw solid conclusions about The Independent Group. It isn’t yet a party and, despite plenty of coverage, most voters are probably still figuring out who they are. Their prospects and the wider effects remain an unpredictable, fast developing process. Nevertheless, […]

  • What next after Parliament delivers historic defeat to May’s deal?

    What next after Parliament delivers historic defeat to May’s deal?

    To nobody’s surprise, the first reading of the Withdrawal Agreement was comprehensively trounced on Tuesday night as Theresa May’s government suffered the worst defeat in parliamentary history. On Wednesday, the process which we’ve been speculating about for months gets underway as the government faces a No Confidence Vote at 13:00. Literally nobody knows where we […]

  • UK Politics Betting – Which party will emerge stronger from Brexit?

    UK Politics Betting – Which party will emerge stronger from Brexit?

    On Friday morning on the Exchange, the betting for the Next General Election – whenever that may come to pass – was perfectly tied, with both Conservatives and Labour available to back at [2.06] to win most seats. An accurate reflection of the stalemate seen in polls, reinforced at local elections, since the 2017 election. […]

  • Suburban backlash in Ohio 12 to intensify GOP mid-term worries

    Suburban backlash in Ohio 12 to intensify GOP mid-term worries

    The biggest political betting event of 2018 will be November’s mid-term US Congressional Elections. Three months out, Betfair markets rate control of the House of Representatives a virtually even contest, with the Democrats slight favourites at 1.91. Republicans remain hot favourites to win the Senate at 1.37. Ohio 12 is an excellent bellweather for the […]

  • Win free tickets to the Matchbook Traders Conference!

    We’ve got a great event to look forward to at the beginning of next month – a unique opportunity to hear some of the finest minds from the world of betting and network with a like-minded audience of gambling enthusiasts. The annual Matchbook Traders Conference has already developed a tremendous reputation and will take place in […]

  • Is politics now inherently unpredictable?

    Is politics now inherently unpredictable?

    I was recently privileged to join a distinguished panel for the Sheffield Political Economy Research Institute, at Cambridge University, discussing the future of politics. In response to the question raised by this title, here’s my essay. Politics has only become uncertain because the rules of the game have changed In order to predict the future […]

  • Are these the 10 names on Trump’s VP shortlist?

    Are these the 10 names on Trump’s VP shortlist?

    With confirmation that Hillary Clinton will not be indicted and with a few days until the long-winded plans to strip Donald Trump from the Republican nomination are almost certainly defeated, the big story involves their respective VP picks. Trump goes first in Cleveland next week and speculation continues to circle about numerous candidates, even at […]