-
Where do the Democrats stand after Super Tuesday?
This piece was first published on 9th March 2020 at Betfair Australia’s The Hub HOW DID THE ODDS SWING SO MUCH? Perhaps the most famous saying in British politics is that “A week is a long time in politics”. Rarely has such a phrase been more apt with regards a US Election. Previously, I observed…
-
Donald Trump Impeachment Betting – Is the end in sight as TV hearings begin?
Political junkies may recall the day of the last general election as a bizarre marathon, which involved watching hours of sacked FBI chief James Comey giving testimony to Congress, before settling down to an all-nighter watching the dramatic UK results come in. In a further twist that perfectly encapsulates our time, events in the USA…
-
Next Tory Leader Betting – Dominic Raab is perfectly poised
With the news that Theresa May will imminently announce her departure date, the starting pistol has been fired on the Next Conservative Leader race. In reality, that kicked off before the final results of the 2017 General Election were in and hardened political punters are doubtless managing several positions already. It has been quite a…
-
Buckle up for betting drama as latest Brexit deadline looms
This article was first published on 8th April 2019, for betting.betfair.com We’re approaching Brexit D-Day once again, with the UK scheduled to leave the EU on Friday at 11pm, with no agreement yet in place. This may seem counterintuitive given the deadlock in Westminster but the imminent developments will, one way or another, provide some…
-
Cross-party soft Brexit deal could be on but will need a new Tory leader
This article was written on March 22nd 2019, for betting.betfair.com Another extraordinary, historic day in the Brexit process yielded more drama on Betfair markets as the biggest related betting market to date – Will the UK leave on 29/03/19 – was finally all but settled. A50 extension foils late no deal gamble Throughout the afternoon,…
-
Labour would emerge stronger from TIG split if Corbyn goes
This article was first published on February 25th, 2019 It is way too early to draw solid conclusions about The Independent Group. It isn’t yet a party and, despite plenty of coverage, most voters are probably still figuring out who they are. Their prospects and the wider effects remain an unpredictable, fast developing process. Nevertheless,…
-
What next after Parliament delivers historic defeat to May’s deal?
To nobody’s surprise, the first reading of the Withdrawal Agreement was comprehensively trounced on Tuesday night as Theresa May’s government suffered the worst defeat in parliamentary history. On Wednesday, the process which we’ve been speculating about for months gets underway as the government faces a No Confidence Vote at 13:00. Literally nobody knows where we…
-
UK Politics Betting – Which party will emerge stronger from Brexit?
On Friday morning on the Exchange, the betting for the Next General Election – whenever that may come to pass – was perfectly tied, with both Conservatives and Labour available to back at [2.06] to win most seats. An accurate reflection of the stalemate seen in polls, reinforced at local elections, since the 2017 election.…
-
Suburban backlash in Ohio 12 to intensify GOP mid-term worries
The biggest political betting event of 2018 will be November’s mid-term US Congressional Elections. Three months out, Betfair markets rate control of the House of Representatives a virtually even contest, with the Democrats slight favourites at 1.91. Republicans remain hot favourites to win the Senate at 1.37. Ohio 12 is an excellent bellweather for the…
-
Win free tickets to the Matchbook Traders Conference!
We’ve got a great event to look forward to at the beginning of next month – a unique opportunity to hear some of the finest minds from the world of betting and network with a like-minded audience of gambling enthusiasts. The annual Matchbook Traders Conference has already developed a tremendous reputation and will take place in…