Month: April 2019

  • Buckle up for betting drama as latest Brexit deadline looms

    Buckle up for betting drama as latest Brexit deadline looms

    This article was first published on 8th April 2019, for betting.betfair.com We’re approaching Brexit D-Day once again, with the UK scheduled to leave the EU on Friday at 11pm, with no agreement yet in place. This may seem counterintuitive given the deadlock in Westminster but the imminent developments will, one way or another, provide some […]

  • Brexit Betting – New referendum has become the least worst option

    Brexit Betting – New referendum has become the least worst option

    This piece was first published on 2nd April 2019 So, the deadlock and agonising wait for clarity goes on. Yesterday’s second round of indicative votes again failed to produce any consensus whatsoever, with all four motions failing to pass. Parliament still can’t find consensus Some progress however was made. The motion for a confirmatory referendum […]

  • Newport West By-Election: Brexit backlash could spark Tory implosion

    Newport West By-Election: Brexit backlash could spark Tory implosion

    Amidst much election talk – whether of the general or European variety – a more imminent poll has yet to capture media attention. Come Friday morning, the Newport West By-Election may well be very newsworthy. Labour near-certain to win big Voters in this relatively safe Labour constituency go to the polls on Thursday, following the […]

  • Latest Brexit Betting – General Election goes odds-on

    Latest Brexit Betting – General Election goes odds-on

    This article was first published on March 29th 2019 Odds of 1.86 reflect an emerging consensus amongst pundits that an election is inevitable, given the political impasse. However that could also reflect that we are no more capable of predicting what on earth will happen next. There are plenty of arguments against it. May departure […]

  • Which options will emerge from Brexit mega-ballot?

    Which options will emerge from Brexit mega-ballot?

    This article was first published on 27th March 2019 for betting.betfair.com In the most extraordinary series of events since the referendum, Brexit could take any number of different turns over the next few days. Having seized control of the parliamentary timetable in a bid to break the deadlock, MPs will debate and vote on a […]

  • Newport West By-Election Betting Preview

    Newport West By-Election Betting Preview

    This article was first published on March 22nd, for gambling.com In this remarkable era for political betting, the word ‘certainty’ should be used with extreme caution. Nevertheless, it is hard to construct an argument for how taking Betway’s 1/6 about Labour winning the Newport West By-election won’t yield a swift 16% profit. Scheduled for April 4th, the by-election […]

  • Michael Gove’s plans are falling into place

    Michael Gove’s plans are falling into place

    This article was first written on 25th March 2019 for betting.betfair.com If anyone was still in doubt that Brexit is, fundamentally, a Conservative Party soap opera, the weekend’s events surely confirmed it. As voices from across the political spectrum talked of ‘national crisis and ‘humiliation’, the Tory civil war intensified. Various ministers linked with looming […]

  • Cross-party soft Brexit deal could be on but will need a new Tory leader

    Cross-party soft Brexit deal could be on but will need a new Tory leader

    This article was written on March 22nd 2019, for betting.betfair.com Another extraordinary, historic day in the Brexit process yielded more drama on Betfair markets as the biggest related betting market to date – Will the UK leave on 29/03/19 – was finally all but settled. A50 extension foils late no deal gamble Throughout the afternoon, […]

  • Was latest humiliation Theresa May’s last stand?

    Was latest humiliation Theresa May’s last stand?

    This article was first published on March 13th, for betting.betfair.com For a strange, brief moment yesterday, amid predictable hype of a last minute gamechanger in Theresa May’s Brexit negotiations, a serious gamble on Theresa May’s EU Withdrawal Agreement passing gained momentum. As it turned out, the PM’s late dash was in vain, and very little […]

  • After Bercow intervention, is Brexit heading for the long grass?

    After Bercow intervention, is Brexit heading for the long grass?

    This article was written on March 19th 2019, for betting.betfair.com The most unpredictable process in political history just took another remarkable turn. 11 days before the UK is scheduled to leave the EU, the Speaker of the House of Commons has sparked a constitutional crisis by blowing up the government’s strategy. Literally nobody is sure […]