Month: November 2018

  • 2020 US Election: Democrat Candidate Picks

    2020 US Election: Democrat Candidate Picks

    A US Presidential Election is truly like no other, effectively lasting two years. Although the primaries do not start until February 2020, would-be candidates are already visiting the opening states – Iowa and New Hampshire. History shows that, to become the nominee for either party, victory in one of those two openers is essential. hence […]

  • Brexit Chaos: What happens next?

    Brexit Chaos: What happens next?

    If nothing else, the last two torturous years should have been an educational experience with regards how politics within the EU and between member states works. One lesson for citizens of all countries should be to take anything their politicians or media say with a huge pinch of salt, for they are evidently more concerned […]

  • Parliamentary defeat could be Theresa May’s last stand

    Parliamentary defeat could be Theresa May’s last stand

    Crunch time, it seems, is finally here. After over two years of speculation – not to mention several hours during the Cabinet meeting – Theresa May released her proposed withdrawal agreement to the media last night. As the details are digested over the coming hours, the world awaits to see what happens next – regarding […]

  • Beto O’Rourke is the star that Democrats need

    Beto O’Rourke is the star that Democrats need

    Analysing the mid-terms, I argued that Donald Trump will not be re-elected and that there was a good chance he wouldn’t even be on the ballot. Today let’s consider who will take him, or a Republican replacement, on in the 2020 US Presidential Election. Huge field expected for Democrat primary 2020 will see a Democrat […]

  • Why Donald Trump will not be re-elected in 2020

    Why Donald Trump will not be re-elected in 2020

    The world awoke yesterday to the US mid-term election results with one question in mind – will Donald Trump be re-elected? As I have argued consistently since he took office, the answer is no. Nothing about these results, and everything about the immediate aftermath, makes me more certain. 2020 betting unmoved by mid-term signals Many […]

  • Betting plans for the mid-terms and the aftermath

    Betting plans for the mid-terms and the aftermath

    There has never been a mid-term US election like it, whether measured by the nature of the campaign, media coverage, betting or the significance moving forward. Whether it was the Kavanaugh confirmation, Trump’s ever more extreme immigration rhetoric or the tragedies caused by domestic terrorism, the world has been watching America. On Tuesday, we get […]

  • US Mid-Term Elections Betting Preview

    US Mid-Term Elections Betting Preview

    Next Tuesday, two years since his election shocked betting markets, Donald Trump will face the first meaningful electoral test of his presidency. Although his name is not on the ballot for local races across the country, the president’s omnipresence has come to define all US political matters. Whatever the result, it will be presented as […]