Month: July 2017

  • The tide is turning against Donald Trump

    The tide is turning against Donald Trump

    After two years of the unlikeliest front-line political candidate in history repeatedly defying conventional wisdom, expert opinion and betting markets, it is tempting to tire of asking the question. Nevertheless it may be more pertinent than ever. The Trump Impeachment Saga is escalating. In the wake of the latest revelations in the Trump Russia scandal, […]

  • Five ways conventional wisdom has broken down

    Five ways conventional wisdom has broken down

    As recently as 2014, political betting was arguably the most reliable market for favourite-backers. Suddenly it’s become a haven for historic upsets. Anyone who thought 2016 was a freak year got a rude awakening last month. Based on their respective positions at the start of each campaign, Labour denying a Conservative majority was a bigger […]

  • Rayner now the value bet to be next Labour leader

    Rayner now the value bet to be next Labour leader

    Back in the day when politics was predictable, opposition parties struggled to get airtime as the news agenda primarily focused on the government and it’s activities. For two years, the travails, divisions and fast-changing dynamics within Labour have defied that particular piece of conventional wisdom. Just at it seemed the narrative was turning in their […]